Bitcoin Marketcap

$921B

Gold Marketcap

$10.85T

BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$19.05B

BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.80%

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KEY MARKETS

24hr change

Bitcoin

$49,269  πŸ“‰

 

-9.45%


S&P 500

4,132  πŸ“‰

-28.04

-0.67%


Gold

$1,785  πŸ“‰

-$2.73

-0.15%


Silver

$26.10  πŸ“‰

-$0.27

-1.03%


Euro

$1.2058  πŸ“ˆ

+$0.00

+0.26%


Yen

Β₯107.91  πŸ“‰

-Β₯0.12

-0.11%


Renminbi (CNY)

Β₯6.4927   

+Β₯0.00

+0.02%


Oil (WTI)

$61.53  πŸ“ˆ

+$0.47

+0.77%


BITCOIN STATS

Bitcoin Marketcap

$921B


BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.80%


% Supply Issued

88.99%


BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$19.05B


Real Exchange Volume (24hr)

$19.28B


Active Addresses

1.11M


Mining Reward Value (24hr)

$45.2M


GBTC Premium

-15.88%


MSTR Premium

4.08%


BTC Down From ATH

23.75%


BTC Up From Cycle Low

0.61%


RATES & YIELDS

24hr change

UST 3mo

0.03%  πŸ“ˆ

+0

0%


UST 2yr

0.15%  πŸ“‰

-0.01

-6.25%


UST 10yr

1.58%  πŸ“‰

-0.03

-1.86%


UST 30yr

2.27%  πŸ“‰

-0.02

-0.87%


Fed Funds (EFFR)

0.07%  πŸ“ˆ

+0

0%


US 10yr Breakeven Inflation

2.33%  πŸ“ˆ

+0

0%


Real Rate (10yr)

-0.75%  πŸ“ˆ

-0.04

-5.63%


RATIOS

24hr change

Gold:BTC (marketcap)

11.78x   

+1.07

+10.04%


M2:BTC (marketcap)

21.08x   

+1.93

+10.07%


BTC:Oil (price)

801.11x   

-88.55

-9.95%


Gold:Oil (price)

29.03x   

-0.24

-0.82%


US GOVERNMENT STATS

30-day change

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

$7.82T  πŸ“ˆ

+$101B

+1.31%


M1 Money Supply

$18.41T  πŸ“ˆ

+$292B

+1.61%


M2 Money Supply

$19.41T  πŸ“‰

 

-0.68%


BTC ROI

Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD)

BTC vs Traditional Assets ROI:

 

Bitcoin

Gold

S&P 500

1 year:

+575%

+3%

+47%

2 year:

+799%

+40%

+41%

3 year:

+431%

+34%

+55%

4 year:

+3,854%

+40%

+74%

5 year:

+10,738%

+44%

+98%

6 year:

+22,035%

+51%

+95%

7 year:

+10,083%

+37%

+121%

8 year:

+35,087%

+23%

+161%

9 year:

+964,175%

+8%

+196%

10 year:

+2,689,179%

+18%

+206%

Data Source: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This shows bitcoin's ROI vs other potential inflation hedge assets.

Why it matters: As with the historical bitcoin price table, we see bitcoin's extreme outperformance vs other assets here as well. Bitcoin's relatively small size, plus fundamental properties, yield extreme outperformance when even relatively small funds-flows find their way to BTC.

BTC DAYS ABOVE PRICE

Bitcoin Price Closing History by Level

Days Bitcoin Closed Above:

Price

Days Above

% of Bitcoin's Life

$50,000

54

1.20%

$49,199

57

1.27%

$40,000

76

1.69%

$30,000

111

2.47%

$20,000

128

2.85%

$10,000

433

9.64%

Data Sources: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This the number of days in which bitcoin "closed" (trading level at midnight UTC) above various price levels.

Why it matters: This can give a sense of where bitcoin is currently trading relative to past cycles.

SHARPE 5yr

DOUBLING TIME

THE BITCOIN LIBRARY

20 Aug 2020 | Phil Bonello | Price when published: $11,816 (ROI since: +316%)

Grayscale Research - Valuing Bitcoin

Filed under: topic icon valuation  medium icon reports

This report details various metrics that can be used to value bitcoin, including:
- Relative Valuation
- Holder vs Speculator Index
- Bitcoin Held for at least 1yr
- Bitcoin Days Destroyed
- Bitcoin Short Term Revived Supply
- Realized Capitalization
- Stock to Flow
- Bitcoin Held on Exchanges
- Daily Active Addresses
- Whale Index
- Production Value
- Miner Profitability Ratio

EXCERPT

As demand for stores of value grows during this regime of monetary inflation, Bitcoin may be well-positioned given that it is a scarce digital asset. The plethora of blockchain metrics covered in this report indicate that the current market structure is reminiscent of early 2016, the period that preceded Bitcoin’s historic bull run.


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12 Feb 2020
Phil Bonello

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