Bitcoin Marketcap

$891B

Gold Marketcap

$10.66T

BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$16.43B

BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.79%

logo CASEBITCOIN making the case for bitcoin every day

KEY MARKETS

24hr change

Bitcoin

$47,333  📉

-$528.84

-1.1%


S&P 500

4,410  📉

-64.6

-1.44%


Gold

$1,754  📈

+$0.04

+0.00%


Silver

$22.39  📉

-$0.52

-2.26%


Euro

$1.1725  📉

-$0

-0.34%


Yen

¥109.98  📈

+¥0.27

+0.24%


Renminbi (CNY)

¥6.4662   

+¥0.01

+0.13%


Oil (WTI)

$71.97  📉

-$0.56

-0.77%


BITCOIN STATS

Bitcoin Marketcap

$891B


BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.79%


% Supply Issued

89.61%


BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$16.43B


Real Exchange Volume (24hr)

$4.04B


Active Addresses

1.02M


Mining Reward Value (24hr)

$43.3M


GBTC Premium

-17.49%


MSTR Premium

17.27%


BTC Down From ATH

26.79%


BTC Up From Cycle Low

61.47%


RATES & YIELDS

24hr change

UST 3mo

0.04%  📈

+0

0%


UST 2yr

0.23%  📈

+0.02

+9.52%


UST 10yr

1.34%  📈

+0.03

+2.29%


UST 30yr

1.88%  📈

+0.01

+0.53%


Fed Funds (EFFR)

0.08%  📈

+0

0%


US 10yr Breakeven Inflation

2.35%  📈

+0

0%


Real Rate (10yr)

-1.04%  📉

+0.03

+-2.80%


RATIOS

24hr change

Gold:BTC (marketcap)

11.97x   

+0.13

+1.08%


M2:BTC (marketcap)

23.05x   

+0.23

+1.01%


BTC:Oil (price)

657.70x   

-2

-0.3%


Gold:Oil (price)

24.36x   

+0.17

+0.70%


US GOVERNMENT STATS

30-day change

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

$8.45T  📈

+$106B

+1.27%


M1 Money Supply

$19.40T  📈

+$134B

+0.69%


M2 Money Supply

$20.53T  📈

+$146B

+0.71%


BTC ROI

Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD)

BTC vs Traditional Assets ROI:

 

Bitcoin

Gold

S&P 500

1 year:

+329%

-10%

+34%

2 year:

+362%

+17%

+47%

3 year:

+633%

+45%

+51%

4 year:

+1,082%

+34%

+76%

5 year:

+7,683%

+33%

+106%

6 year:

+20,457%

+54%

+125%

7 year:

+11,627%

+44%

+120%

8 year:

+38,276%

+32%

+158%

9 year:

+378,754%

-1%

+202%

10 year:

+806,297%

-3%

+284%

Data Source: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This shows bitcoin's ROI vs other potential inflation hedge assets.

Why it matters: As with the historical bitcoin price table, we see bitcoin's extreme outperformance vs other assets here as well. Bitcoin's relatively small size, plus fundamental properties, yield extreme outperformance when even relatively small funds-flows find their way to BTC.

BTC DAYS ABOVE PRICE

Bitcoin Price Closing History by Level

Days Bitcoin Closed Above:

Price

Days Above

% of Bitcoin's Life

$50,000

76

1.64%

$47,341

106

2.28%

$40,000

153

3.30%

$30,000

258

5.56%

$20,000

276

5.95%

$10,000

581

12.52%

Data Sources: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This the number of days in which bitcoin "closed" (trading level at midnight UTC) above various price levels.

Why it matters: This can give a sense of where bitcoin is currently trading relative to past cycles.

SHARPE 5yr

DOUBLING TIME

THE BITCOIN LIBRARY

6 Apr 2021 | Michael Morell | Price when published: $58,569 (ROI since: -19.19%)

An Analysis of Bitcoin’s Use in Illicit Finance

Filed under: topic icon fundamentals  medium icon reports

Michael Morell is the former acting Director of the United States Central Intelligence Agency. In this piece, he set out to understand bitcoin and crypto-currencies' role in illicit activity. In short, he found that illicit use of Bitcoin is far less than many people assume, and probably even a significantly smaller share of the bitcoin-economy than illicit use of dollars are vs global GDP.

Data and conclusions in this report are well-sourced. Mr Morell notes that he and his team "consulted a diverse group of experts in the fields of cryptocurrency technology and investment, financial services, payment systems, global intelligence and security, financial regulation, and law enforcement. We interviewed executives from major blockchain analytics firms, former senior Treasury Department officials, a senior official from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and a former CIA intelligence analyst, as well as academics, venture capital investors, former federal prosecutors, and a former leader in the banking industry. We also consulted studies from the U.S. Department of Justice; the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN); the Financial Action Task Force (FATF); major blockchain analytics firms; the Brookings Institution; RAND Corporation; BAE Systems; and the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies. Sigal Mandelker, former Acting Deputy Secretary of the Treasury and Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, as well as a former Department of Justice official and prosecutor, gave us a significant amount of her time to tap into her wealth of experience on the issue."

EXCERPT

However, based on our research and discussions with industry experts, I have confidence in two conclusions:
• The broad generalizations about the use of Bitcoin in illicit finance are significantly overstated.
• The blockchain ledger on which Bitcoin transactions are recorded is an underutilized forensic tool that can be used more widely by law enforcement and the intelligence community to identify and disrupt illicit activities. Put simply, blockchain analysis is a highly effective crime fighting and intelligence gathering tool.

...

According to a recent study by blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis, illicit activity among all cryptocurrencies as a percent of total cryptocurrency activity from 2017 to 2020 was less than 1 percent. For Bitcoin specifically, blockchain analytics firm CipherTrace estimates that illicit activity makes up less than 0.5 percent of total transaction volume.

...

All of this together suggests a broader point—that the illicit use of cryptocurrencies in general and Bitcoin in particular, as a share of total market activity, is certainly not higher than it is in the traditional banking system and is most likely less.


Read in Full

What do you think of this piece?


MORE FROM FUNDAMENTALS

MORE REPORTS