Bitcoin Marketcap

$917B

Gold Marketcap

$10.55T

BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$13.48B

BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.80%

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KEY MARKETS

24hr change

Bitcoin

$49,217  πŸ“ˆ

+$211.92

+0.43%


S&P 500

3,876  πŸ“‰

-22.08

-0.57%


Gold

$1,735  πŸ“ˆ

+$20.71

+1.21%


Silver

$26.67  πŸ“ˆ

+$0.54

+2.06%


Euro

$1.2090  πŸ“ˆ

+$0.01

+0.56%


Yen

Β₯106.86  πŸ“ˆ

+Β₯0.08

+0.08%


Renminbi (CNY)

Β₯6.4643   

-Β₯0.01

-0.09%


Oil (WTI)

$59.89  πŸ“‰

-$0.04

-0.07%


BITCOIN STATS

Bitcoin Marketcap

$917B


BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.80%


% Supply Issued

88.77%


BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$13.48B


Real Exchange Volume (24hr)

$7.44B


Active Addresses

1.07M


Mining Reward Value (24hr)

$45.0M


GBTC Premium

-2.06%


MSTR Premium

42.34%


BTC Down From ATH

15.43%


BTC Up From Cycle Low

13.95%


RATES & YIELDS

24hr change

UST 3mo

0.05%  πŸ“ˆ

+0.01

+25.00%


UST 2yr

0.14%  πŸ“‰

-0.03

-17.65%


UST 10yr

1.44%  πŸ“‰

-0.1

-6.49%


UST 30yr

2.17%  πŸ“‰

-0.16

-6.87%


Fed Funds (EFFR)

0.07%  πŸ“ˆ

+0

0%


RATIOS

24hr change

Gold:BTC (marketcap)

11.50x   

+0.09

+0.77%


M2:BTC (marketcap)

21.17x   

-0.06

-0.29%


BTC:Oil (price)

820.80x   

+2.26

+0.28%


Gold:Oil (price)

28.95x   

+0.34

+1.18%


US GOVERNMENT STATS

30-day change

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

$7.59T  πŸ“ˆ

+$185B

+2.50%


M1 Money Supply

$6.81T  πŸ“ˆ

+$13.80B

+0.20%


M2 Money Supply

$19.41T  πŸ“‰

 

-0.68%


BTC ROI

Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD)

BTC vs Traditional Assets ROI:

 

Bitcoin

Gold

S&P 500

1 year:

+462%

+6%

+26%

2 year:

+1,205%

+34%

+39%

3 year:

+328%

+31%

+44%

4 year:

+3,796%

+42%

+63%

5 year:

+12,100%

+37%

+94%

6 year:

+18,009%

+47%

+86%

7 year:

+7,252%

+29%

+107%

8 year:

+128,208%

+10%

+153%

9 year:

+1,003,964%

+2%

+186%

10 year:

+5,530,938%

+21%

+194%

Data Source: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This shows bitcoin's ROI vs other potential inflation hedge assets.

Why it matters: As with the historical bitcoin price table, we see bitcoin's extreme outperformance vs other assets here as well. Bitcoin's relatively small size, plus fundamental properties, yield extreme outperformance when even relatively small funds-flows find their way to BTC.

BTC DAYS ABOVE PRICE

Bitcoin Price Closing History by Level

Days Bitcoin Closed Above:

Price

Days Above

% of Bitcoin's Life

$50,000

6

0.14%

$49,217

8

0.18%

$40,000

25

0.56%

$30,000

60

1.35%

$20,000

77

1.73%

$10,000

382

8.60%

Data Sources: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This the number of days in which bitcoin "closed" (trading level at midnight UTC) above various price levels.

Why it matters: This can give a sense of where bitcoin is currently trading relative to past cycles.

SHARPE 5yr

DOUBLING TIME

Bitcoin is an Asymmetric Investment

theme image

Bitcoin is a gold-like (see "digital gold") monetary asset. Is is a burgeoning asset class, rapidly maturing. With a market capitalization in the low $100B range, it is still very small from a global monetary perspective. As such, the return profile is extremely asymmetric. If you believe there's a non-trivial chance that bitcoin will stick around and fulfill even just some of its potential, the upside is likely hundreds to thousands of percent while the max downside is capped at 100%. This asymmetric profile means single-digit % allocations (or less) could return the entire portfolio in the success case.

Pieces About Bitcoin as an Asymmetric Investment