Bitcoin Marketcap

$1.16T

Gold Marketcap

$10.72T

BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$9.89B

BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.78%

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KEY MARKETS

24hr change

Bitcoin

$61,439  📈

+$2,210

+3.73%


S&P 500

4,478  📈

+11.42

+0.26%


Gold

$1,763  📉

-$1.74

-0.1%


Silver

$23.20  📉

-$0.11

-0.47%


Euro

$1.1612  📈

+$0.00

+0.16%


Yen

¥114.31  📈

+¥0.04

+0.03%


Renminbi (CNY)

¥6.4296   

-¥0.01

-0.1%


Oil (WTI)

$82.08  📉

-$0.18

-0.22%


BITCOIN STATS

Bitcoin Marketcap

$1.16T


BTC Inflation Rate (next 1yr)

1.78%


% Supply Issued

89.75%


BTC Settlement Volume (24hr)

$9.89B


Real Exchange Volume (24hr)

$12.73B


Active Addresses

937,355


Mining Reward Value (24hr)

$56.2M


GBTC Premium

3.11%


MSTR Premium

12.67%


BTC Down From ATH

5.00%


BTC Up From Cycle Low

109.88%


RATES & YIELDS

24hr change

UST 3mo

0.05%  📈

+0

0%


UST 2yr

0.36%  📉

-0.01

-2.7%


UST 10yr

1.52%  📉

-0.04

-2.56%


UST 30yr

2.02%  📉

-0.03

-1.46%


Fed Funds (EFFR)

0.08%  📈

+0

0%


US 10yr Breakeven Inflation

2.56%  📈

+0.04

+1.59%


Real Rate (10yr)

-1.04%  📈

+0

0%


RATIOS

24hr change

Gold:BTC (marketcap)

9.26x   

-0.33

-3.44%


M2:BTC (marketcap)

17.96x   

-0.52

-2.84%


BTC:Oil (price)

748.59x   

+26.60

+3.68%


Gold:Oil (price)

21.48x   

+0.02

+0.09%


US GOVERNMENT STATS

30-day change

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

$8.48T  📈

+$32.17B

+0.38%


M1 Money Supply

$19.68T  📈

+$276B

+1.42%


M2 Money Supply

$20.80T  📈

+$262B

+1.28%


BTC ROI

Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD)

BTC vs Traditional Assets ROI:

 

Bitcoin

Gold

S&P 500

1 year:

+428%

-7%

+28%

2 year:

+670%

+18%

+50%

3 year:

+858%

+44%

+62%

4 year:

+987%

+37%

+75%

5 year:

+9,675%

+39%

+109%

6 year:

+22,782%

+50%

+121%

7 year:

+15,808%

+41%

+136%

8 year:

+36,741%

+34%

+157%

9 year:

+523,539%

+3%

+212%

10 year:

+2,138,837%

+8%

+265%

Data Source: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This shows bitcoin's ROI vs other potential inflation hedge assets.

Why it matters: As with the historical bitcoin price table, we see bitcoin's extreme outperformance vs other assets here as well. Bitcoin's relatively small size, plus fundamental properties, yield extreme outperformance when even relatively small funds-flows find their way to BTC.

BTC DAYS ABOVE PRICE

Bitcoin Price Closing History by Level

Days Bitcoin Closed Above:

Price

Days Above

% of Bitcoin's Life

$70,000

0

0

$61,438

6

0.13%

$60,000

10

0.21%

$50,000

89

1.91%

$40,000

183

3.92%

$30,000

288

6.17%

Data Sources: Messari.io, bitcoincharts.com

What is it: This the number of days in which bitcoin "closed" (trading level at midnight UTC) above various price levels.

Why it matters: This can give a sense of where bitcoin is currently trading relative to past cycles.

SHARPE 5yr

DOUBLING TIME

New Treasury Secretary Pick Janet Yellen Expected to Accelerate Gov Spending


 

Biden unveiled Janet Yellen as his pick for Treasury Secretary, yesterday, suggesting a tight working relationship between treasury and Jerome Powell's Fed. Powell's recent re-orienting of the Fed towards tolerating higher inflation and focusing more on employment goals dovetails well with some of Yellen's recent comments:

“While the pandemic is still seriously affecting the economy we need to continue extraordinary fiscal support, but even beyond that I think it will be necessary,” Yellen said Oct. 19 on Bloomberg Television. “We can afford to have more debt,” she added, because interest rates will probably be low “for many years to come.”

tldr

  • The Fed and Treasury will have the same goals (stimulus, low rates), and now probably an enhanced ability to work effectively together
  • Arguably, the Fed and Treasury already crossed the rubicon back in March with their creative use of SPVs to allow the Fed to circumvent the spirit, if not the letter, of the Federal Reserve Act and buy corporate bonds
  • Fed and Treasury working together longer term with the same massively-accomodative goals is one more step in the elimination of the last vestiges of Fed independence, and with it, the throttle on politicians' spending impulses.

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THE INVESTMENT CASE FOR BITCOIN

All you need to read to understand the investment case for bitcoin.

Bitcoin reminds me of gold when I first got into the business in 1976

- Paul Tudor Jones, Hedge Fund Manager

Frankly, if the gold bet works, the bitcoin bet will probably work better

- Stanley Druckenmiller - hedge fund manager

Bitcoin is a technological tour de force

- Bill Gates, Founder - Microsoft

[people] use [bitcoin] more as an alternative to gold. It’s a speculative store of value.

- Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman

There are 3 eras of currency: commodity based, politically based, and now, math based.

- Chris Dixon - Tech Investor, A16Z

Bitcoin may be the TCP/IP of money.

- Paul Buchheit - Gmail Creator

If they become widely accepted, virtual currencies could have a substitution effect on central bank money.

- European Central Bank - 2012

Bitcoin is Gold 2.0, a huge, huge deal.

- Chamath Palihapitiya - Founder & CEO Social Capital

I think every major bank, every major investment bank, every major high net worth firm is going to eventually have some exposure to bitcoin or what’s like it

- Bill Miller - Former Chainman & CIO, Legg Mason Capital

Bitcoin is money, everything else is credit.

- JP Morgan - 1912

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